The dust has settled on Bangladesh’s landmark 13th general elections, where the BNP clinched a massive mandate in a process that stayed remarkably violence-free. Lisa Curtis, ex-White House advisor on South Asia, called it a milestone for democracy but warned of looming challenges from Jamaat-e-Islami’s unexpected strength and battered state institutions.
Speaking candidly, Curtis said, ‘This feels like a good day for Bangladesh’s democracy.’ The BNP’s sweep overshadowed Jamaat’s leap from fringe player to potential holder of dozens of seats, a dramatic departure from their historical 5-7% vote share.
Polling day peace was a relief against predictions of chaos. Voter turnout dipped to 60%, attributable to Awami League’s absence, which sidelined its base. Positively, a referendum saw strong backing for institutional reforms, including term limits for the PM and enhanced female involvement.
Curtis scrutinized Jamaat’s appeal to young voters during campaigning, yet flagged their elderly conservative leaders as likely to steer hardline policies. ‘How will they function as opposition? Their impact on society and governance is the big question,’ she pondered.
BNP’s Tarique Rahman faces a herculean task: shaking off corruption shadows from his long exile and mending institutions gutted by Hasina’s tenure. Restoring public confidence in governance is non-negotiable.
Washington heaves a sigh of relief at the smooth elections, having backed the interim setup. Still, Jamaat’s ascent troubles US policymakers, given policy clashes on gender equality. Expect observation mode as BNP manages this wildcard.
India, once Hasina’s staunch ally, was caught off-guard by her ouster. Curtis notes a pivot: New Delhi’s warming to BNP via diplomatic moves. With deep economic and security links, engagement is inevitable, and relations could thaw soon.
This election ushers optimism but underscores Bangladesh’s tightrope walk toward inclusive governance amid ideological tensions.