Tensions in Iran have reached a boiling point, with anti-government protests raging since December 28. Over 115 fatalities and 2,000 detentions later, speculation swirls about an imminent power shift, reminiscent of dramatic falls in Bangladesh, Nepal, and Venezuela. The regime faces its sternest test yet amid cries for reform.

Public discontent stems from economic woes – hyperinflation and joblessness – compounded by repressive policies on women’s rights and personal liberties. Universities have become hotbeds of dissent, with women and students leading the charge in a movement that’s gone viral despite severed internet and phone lines for over 60 hours.

Bangladesh’s saga offers stark lessons: student-led outrage against Sheikh Hasina escalated into nationwide riots, culminating in her ouster after significant bloodshed. Nepal’s 2025 Jenjii protests, organized via social platforms, similarly dismantled the status quo. Venezuela saw U.S. intervention at its boldest – Maduro’s sudden ‘abduction’ to the U.S. capital, paired with strikes, sparked jubilation among the oppressed populace.

U.S. rhetoric fuels the fire. Officials have pledged support for protesters and threatened strikes if violence escalates. Though Tehran labels it foreign meddling, Khamenei’s recent address struck a defiant tone: ‘For 40 years, they’ve battered us on every front – security, economy, culture – funded riots through proxies. Yet here we stand, the Islamic Republic triumphant.’

With no end in sight, questions loom: Can Khamenei’s grip hold? Or is Iran on the cusp of transformation? Analysts pore over the parallels, warning that history may indeed rhyme.