In a sweeping strategic blueprint for 2026-2030, the US State Department has declared that countering China’s global rise will determine the course of the 21st century. Central to this vision is a nuanced, condition-based economic partnership with India, framed within a comprehensive Indo-Pacific strategy.
The document lays bare America’s philosophy: no direct clash with China, but unwavering resolve to protect national interests via robust competition and alliances with nations like India. ‘America’s reaction to China’s emergence will write the story of this century,’ it asserts starkly.
The stakes couldn’t be higher. Asia generates almost half of global GDP and hosts essential maritime routes and supply chains, rendering the Indo-Pacific indispensable to US prosperity and security. China’s swift economic and military expansion demands a measured yet firm response.
War or overthrowing Beijing is off the table; sustained diplomacy is preferred, backed by readiness to compete. India, as an emerging economic giant, is pivotal. The US wants closer collaboration, but strictly on terms safeguarding its own strategic goals.
Envisioning a coercion-free economic framework in the region, the plan vows scrutiny over tariff evasion tactics through proxies. Balancing power against China’s military growth is essential for safe commerce. Alliances will deepen, with the Quad—US, India, Japan, Australia—at the forefront.
Shielding US industries from predatory practices remains a priority, alongside sustaining leadership in technology and economy. On India, the strategy is pragmatic: ‘We will pursue partnerships with growing regional economies like India on terms that advance US security and economic interests and avoid past mistakes.’
This forward-looking plan marks a shift toward conditional engagement, leveraging India’s rise to offset China’s influence while fortifying America’s position in a multipolar world.