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	<title>RBI forecast &#8211; News Analysis India</title>
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		<title>December Deflation: Relief for Rural Laborers on Food Prices</title>
		<link>https://newsanalysisindia.com/india/december-deflation-relief-for-rural-laborers-on-food-prices/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[News Analysis India]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agricultural laborers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPI-AL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPI-RL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[December inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labour Ministry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBI forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rural workers]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[In a welcome breather for millions of farm and village workers, India&#8217;s food inflation for these groups turned negative last December. Official data from the Labour and Employment Ministry reveals&#8230;]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>In a welcome breather for millions of farm and village workers, India&#8217;s food inflation for these groups turned negative last December. Official data from the Labour and Employment Ministry reveals the CPI-AL at 0.04 percent and CPI-RL at 0.11 percent on a yearly basis.</p>



<p>The standout story lies in food baskets: -1.8 percent deflation for agricultural laborers and -1.73 percent for rural ones. Bumper harvests and higher output have driven down prices of staples like grains, vegetables, and dairy, directly benefiting low-income households.</p>



<p>This isn&#8217;t just numbers—it&#8217;s real-world impact. With food accounting for over half their budgets, negative inflation means more money left for education, healthcare, and savings. It&#8217;s a vital boost amid ongoing rural challenges like wage stagnation and climate uncertainties.</p>



<p>Marking a methodological upgrade, the ministry&#8217;s Labour Bureau adopted a 2019=100 base from June this year. Sourced from comprehensive village-level surveys in 787 locations spanning all states and UTs, the updated indices offer sharper insights than the archaic 1986-87 series.</p>



<p>Enhanced scope, new data collection techniques, and methodological tweaks make these metrics more robust and reflective of today&#8217;s consumption patterns.</p>



<p>On the macro front, retail CPI rose modestly to 1.33 percent from November&#8217;s 0.71 percent. WPI turned positive at 0.83 percent, up from -0.32 percent, thanks to manufacturing and mineral price upticks.</p>



<p>RBI forecasts hover at 2 percent retail inflation for FY26, supported by tax cuts and abundant food supplies. Such controlled inflation paves the way for monetary easing, spurring investments and job creation in rural economies.</p>
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